The Tampa Bay Lightning (27-13-3) square off against the Philadelphia Flyers (22-13-8) at Xfinity Mobile Arena on Monday, Jan. 12 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Lightning defeated the Philadelphia Flyers 7-2 in their last outing, while the Flyers are coming off a 7-2 loss to the Tampa Bay Lightning.
Sign up for ESPN+ today to watch 1,000+ out-of-market NHL games, ESPN+ Hockey Night & more.
Ahead of this matchup, here's who we project to take home the victory in Monday's hockey game.
In the last 10 games, the Flyers are 5-3-2. They have totaled 33 goals, while allowing their opponents to score 30. They have gone on the power play 31 times during that span, and have capitalized with five goals (16.1% of opportunities).
Lightning vs. Flyers Predictions for Monday
Our computer model for this game calls for a final result of Flyers 4, Lightning 3.
- Moneyline Pick: Flyers (+123)
- Total Pick: Under 6 (computer predicts 5.8 goals on average)
- Spread Pick: Flyers (+1.5)
Watch 1,000+ out-of-market NHL games, ESPN+ Hockey Night & more streaming all season on ESPN+.
Lightning Splits and Trends
- The Lightning have a 27-13-3 record overall, with a 5-3-8 record in matchups that have gone to overtime.
- In the 16 games Tampa Bay has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 7-7-2 record (good for 16 points).
- In the three games this season the Lightning recorded just one goal, they finished 0-2-1.
- Tampa Bay has taken eight points from the 10 games this season when it scored exactly two goals (3-5-2 record).
- The Lightning are 24-4-0 in the 28 games when they have scored more than two goals (to record 48 points).
- In the 15 games when Tampa Bay has recorded a lone power-play goal, it has a 10-3-2 record (22 points).
- In games when it has outshot opponents, Tampa Bay is 10-9-2 (22 points).
- The Lightning have been outshot by opponents 21 times, and went 16-4-1 (33 points).
Flyers Splits and Trends
- The Flyers have posted a record of 7-8-15 in overtime matchups as part of an overall mark of 22-13-8.
- In the 11 games Philadelphia has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up nine points.
- This season the Flyers scored just one goal in nine games and they've earned two points (0-7-2) in those contests.
- Philadelphia has seven points (2-4-3) when scoring a pair of goals this season.
- The Flyers have scored three or more goals 24 times, earning 43 points from those matchups (20-1-3).
- Philadelphia has scored a lone power-play goal in 11 games this season and has recorded 14 points from those matchups.
- When outshooting its opponent this season, Philadelphia is 12-6-2 (26 points).
- The Flyers have been outshot by opponents 21 times this season, and earned 23 points in those games.
Looking for NHL tickets? Head to StubHub today and see your team live.
Team Stats Comparison
| Lightning Rank | Lightning AVG | Flyers AVG | Flyers Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd | 3.53 | Goals Scored | 2.95 | 20th |
| 2nd | 2.63 | Goals Allowed | 2.88 | 10th |
| 20th | 27.2 | Shots | 26.1 | 25th |
| 7th | 26.5 | Shots Allowed | 25.4 | 4th |
| 18th | 18.98% | Power Play % | 15.57% | 30th |
| 6th | 83.1% | Penalty Kill % | 80.77% | 11th |
Lightning vs. Flyers Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Monday, January 12, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Sign up for ESPN+ to watch the Lightning square off against Flyers.